President Donald Trump has already instituted the interventions now recommended by the Imperial College in London to curb the spread of coronavirus in the U.S. Trump is and has been doing exactly what the best medical experts are calling for in order to slow infection rates and save American lives.
The 100 page federal report on the coronavirus epidemic includes epidemiological mathematical modeling that explains the rational for the current restrictions schools, universities, restaurants, travel, quarantines, and sheltering in place necessitated by the lack of preparation which the CBO recommended but which Obama, Biden, Pelosi, Sanders and others ignored.
On March 16th, the COVID-19 Response Team at Imperial College in London released its report laying out non-drug interventions to reduce coronavirus deaths and demand on healthcare. It recommends social distancing, case isolation, household quarantine and school and university closures to slow the spread of the coronavirus which originated in China. Without such efforts, the report predicts “in an unmitigated epidemic…approximately 510,000 deaths in GB and 2.2 million in the US….”
The New York Times explains that the Imperial College in London is the “gold standard” for medical expertise
Imperial College has advised the government on its response to previous epidemics, including SARS, avian flu and swine flu. With ties to the World Health Organization and a team of 50 scientists, led by a prominent epidemiologist, Neil Ferguson, Imperial is treated as a sort of gold standard, its mathematical models feeding directly into government policies.
The Imperial College report predicts how the four infection suppression tactics already urged by President Trump’s federal guidelines (social distancing of the entire population, case isolation, household quarantine and school and university closure) can have the largest impact, short of a complete lockdown.
It concludes that “epidemic suppression is the only viable strategy at the current time” and that “[t]he social and economic effects of the measures which are needed to achieve this policy goal will be profound.”
Trump’s timely efforts including the January travel ban from China and swift communication of the federal guidelines to suppress infection rates has already bought America time to mobilize, delayed the spread, and may well have blunted the infection rate. The Administration’s federal guidelines precisely track Imperial College’s recommendation for suppression:
early action is important, and interventions need to be in place well before healthcare capacity is overwhelmed. Given the most systematic surveillance occurs in the hospital context, the typical delay from infection to hospitalisation means there is a 2- to 3-week lag between interventions being introduced and the impact being seen in hospitalised case numbers….
Trump should be praised for his quick implementation of experts’ advise which may well have saved millions of American lives. Sadly, that is lost on a biased mainstream media hell-bent on politicizing Trump’s every word or tweet as inept or racist.