Days ago I explained that Obama does not need a reason to pardon Hillary either before or after the election.
However, if either the forthcoming Wikileaks dump or Comey’s new email evidence is so very crippling that the Democrat brand is irreparably threatened, then expect the party to request Hillary’s quiet resignation in exchange for Obama’s pardon. Given Hillary’s arrogance and the numerous apparent violations of federal law already revealed by leaked emails and undercover videos, it is hard to imagine what new revelations would trigger such a negotiation.
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 election?
With just days to go and a sympathetic media on her side, Obama presumably has the time to allow Clinton finish her presidential run. If she wins the election, she’s in the clear. If she loses, Obama can pardon Clinton before transferring power in January in order to bring “closure” to the FBI investigation quickly lest additional information reveal DNC connections to crimes.
Absent Hillary’s voluntary resignation as nominee, Obama will not pardon Hillary before election day because there is no political advantage to do so then. Issuing a pardon would confirm in voters minds that Hillary is indeed guilty since innocent people don’t need pardons. Worse, a pre-election day pardon would almost certainly negatively impact Democrat voter turnout and cripple the Democrat brand as the new Nixonian party for years.
If Hillary wins election, she is in the clear. Who in the DOJ would indict her? Obama will be able to pardon her to bring “closure” to the FBI prosecution, citing her victory on election day as national exoneration in the ultimate court of public opinion. He will look magnanimous in attempting to heal the nation after a divisive election. She would not yet be sworn into office and therefore would not be subject to any impeachment action by Congress. Impeachment is the only limitation on the sweeping power of the presidential pardon.
And he may well have a personal motivation to do so.
As I explained on radio last week, by pardoning Hillary (and the growing list of others implicated in the Clinton Foundation-Emailgate-Weinergate corruption probes including DOJ officials who obstructed the investigation), Obama can effectively insulate himself from further scrutiny by protecting his long time adversary.
Recall Obama not only knew about Hillary’s private server; he used an email pseudonym to send unsecured emails to her private server. Obama’s secret emails to Hillary may be actionable under the Espionage Act. And there may be more information contained in leaked emails via Wikileaks and recoverable through Huma Abedin’s 650,000 emails archived on sext-aholic husband Anthony Weiner’s laptop.
Obama himself could become the subject of the expanding FBI Clinton probes. To avoid prosecution under the Espionage Act, he would need a presidential pardon too.
Within a mere two months, the newly sworn in President Hillary could return the favor by pardoning an outgoing former President Obama from any charges which might arise out of the FBI investigations. Once out of office, he would not be the subject to impeachment. As incoming president freed from future prosecution over Clintongate, Hillary could also pardon a host of staff or personnel at the DOJ to effectively bury the investigation of the Clinton Foundation pay-to-play operation. The twin Obama/Clinton presidential pardons would be the ultimate quid pro quo.
But what if she loses to Trump? Would Obama still pardon the Queen of Corruption and her surrogates while bloviating about “healing our nation following a divisive election?” Would he risk public wrath and heightened Congressional scrutiny to wield his pardon . . . . for Hillary? There is no love lost between the Clintons and the Obamas. But as a tactic to shut down the investigation that threatens to smear the Democrat party brand, would he grant pardons to save his own political skin? Watch for the opportune moment.