#MonaLog: GOP Debate and New Jeb Ad Attacking Trump

Welcome to the #MonaLog – a PolitiChicks Insider into the 2016 race.

Happy Wednesday. Last night was the last time American voters would hear President Obama deliver the State of The Union Address… Cheers.

Fox Business Announces Lineup, Rand Paul Booted and Boycotting GOP Debate, Jeb Bush continues Empty Punches to Donald Trump, Ben Carson Releases Foreign Policy Plan

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 election?

Happy Birthday Rush Limbaugh… He turned 65

#MonaLog Countdown Clock- 20 days to Iowa, 28 days to New Hampshire, 39 days to South Carolina…

Debate Countdown- Republicans FOX Business Debate is tomorrow… Democrats’ debate in 4 days

PolitiChicks.comFOX Business GOP Debate Prime-Time Lineup

This marks the first time a GOP Debate only will have seven candidates appearing in the prime-time debate.

Rand Paul Booted from Prime-Time Debate

Fox Business Network announced Monday night the seven candidates that qualified for the main-stage lineup and Senator Rand Paul is not happy about it.

Paul who has been on the main stage in all five previous debates has been relegating along with Carly Fiorina to the first-tier “kiddie table” stage. Unhappy with being booted off the main stage debate, Paul has decided to boycott the entire debate. “I won’t participate in anything that is not first tier because we have a first tier campaign,” Paul said prior to Fox Business announcement.

PolitiChicks.comOnly seven candidates have qualified for the main stage based on Fox Business criteria of candidates with top average of five most recent national polls, as well as those who finish in the top five in either Iowa or New Hampshire polls. Both Paul and Carly failed to meet those criteria.

Paul cites the criteria as “a mistake” from Fox Business. “It’s a mistake because the thing is we actually have been in the top five or six in most of the recent polls. Last week in a national poll, we were just one point out of fourth place,” Paul said to CNN’s Wolf Blitzer. “So I think it’s a mistake to try to exclude me from the national debate.”

His campaign released a statement protesting the decision and Paul’s treatment by the media. “Multiple national polls including CNN, CBS, Fox, Marist and others have [Paul] in 5th or 6th place, one poll has [Paul] just a single point out of 4th place. In multiple polls, [Paul] scores ahead of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich, and Carly Fiorina.”

According to Real Clear Politics polling, Paul national average has him placed in seventh with an average of 2.8 percent. John Kasich has an average of 1.8 percent and is placed in 9th behind Paul and Fiorina. However, Kasich high polling average in New Hampshire of 11.2 percent secured his spot in the prime-time debate

As for Fiorina, she will partake in the undercard debate and hope to recapture the widely praised performance she received in the first debate that placed her in the main stage debate with rising poll numbers. However, her poll numbers have steadily declined since the second debate where recent national survey has Fiorina polling in low single digits with an average of 2 percent.

Jeb Bush New Attack Ad Against Donald Trump

With less than three weeks until the Iowa caucus and a month before New Hampshire primary, the attack ads to the current GOP front-runner Donald Trump are piling up from his rivals vying to take down his ranking. However as attacks continue to shoot towards Trump, they only help his poll numbers rise as the attacker poll numbers start to decline.

The latest new video aimed at Trump came from former Florida Governor Jeb Bush campaign. In this video called “Taking a Stand,” it features Tim Dyar from South Carolina who has a 12-years-old son Breylen who suffers from cerebral palsy. Dyar in the video cites Trump’s alleged remarks that mocked a New York Times reporter for his physical disability adding he wants to make sure that Trump does not become the Republican nominee.

“It’s just not right. It’s not presidential. I have a 12-year-old son who is handicapped. He has cerebral palsy and that just made me so angry,” Dyar says in the video. “I had to do something to make sure Donald Trump is not the nominee.”

During a November campaign rally, Trump impersonated the New York Times reporter who retracted a report about the World Trade Center attacks. Trump’s hand gestures while ridiculing the reporter retraction appeared to many that Trump was mocking the reporter’s disability that limits his arm movements. The spar between Trump and the Times reporters began over one of Trump’s controversial statement in which he used the New York Times report to back up his claim.

Trump declared that “thousands and thousands” of Muslims gathered in Jersey City, New Jersey to celebrate the attacks on September 11. Trump cited the reporter age-old report as evidence for his argument as the media and rivals questioned his claim. The reporter insisted that particular reporting has no substance to be used as standing in which Trump argued the reporter should stand by his reporting.

Last week in a town hall event in New Hampshire, Bush laid out exactly why he thinks Trump is a jerk due to his mockery of the reporter disability. “When anybody disparages people with disabilities, it sets me off. That’s why I called him a jerk. Because he disparaged a person who he knew had a disability and make fun of him,” Bush said in response to a question.

Watch the video here:

Ben Carson Releases Foreign Policy Plan

Earlier Tuesday morning, Ben Carson released his policy plan for restoring America’s global leadership and rebuilding the military. The plan is titled “Prescription for a Safer, Stronger America,” Carson lays out six principles that promote peace and stability while providing security for the United States.

“As Commander in Chief, I will restore our military capabilities to levels fitting of our legacy as a world leader for peace and prosperity,” Carson said. “I will ensure that our brave men and women in uniform are the best-trained and equipped military in the world, ready to respond to any threat to our national security.”

With Carson poll numbers slipping to fourth place and low digits in New Hampshire as well as shake up in his campaign staff, the one time front-runner is looking to change voters mind amid questions of his readiness to be commander-in-chief.

Here are the six principles of Carson’s foreign policy plan:

  1. Rearming the U.S. Military
  2. Renewing the National Security establishment
  3. Revitalizing critical alliances
  4. Re-evaluating when to put American troops in harm’s way
  5. Restoring U.S. global leadership
  6. Reviving economic prosperity

Latest Polls:

New Hampshire (Monmouth Poll)

According to Monmouth New Hampshire Primary Poll conducted January 7-10

Trump leads Cruz and Kasich 32%-14%

Rubio-12%

Christie-8%

Fiorina-5%

Bush and Paul with 4%

Carson- 3%

Huckabee-1%

Santorum-0%

Iowa (Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Poll)

According to DM/Bloomberg Iowa Primary Poll conducted January 7-10

Cruz leads Trump 25%-22%

Rubio-12%

Carson-11%

Paul-5%

Bush-4%

Christie and Huckabee with 3%

Kasich and Fiorina with 2%

Santorum-1%

National (CBS/NY Times Poll)

According to CBS/NYT National Poll conducted January 7-10

Trump leads Cruz 36%-19%

Rubio-12%

Carson and Bush with 6%

Huckabee-4%

Christie and Fiorina with 3%

Kasich-2%

Paul-1%

Santorum-0%

 

Follow The Candidates on the Campaign Trail for January 13, 2016:

  • Donald Trump holds a rally in Pensacola, Florida (7:00 pm ET)

 

South Carolina

  • Marco Rubio holds a rally in Charleston County (12:00 pm ET)
  • John Kasich meet and greet in Charleston (5:00 pm ET)
  • Mike Huckabee holds Huckabee Huddle in Charleston (3:30 pm ET)

New Hampshire

  • Ted Cruz holds a rally in Dorchester (6:00 pm ET)
  • Chris Christie holds a Town Hall in Goffstown (9:00 am ET)

Iowa

  • Rick Santorum meet and greet in Mt. Pleasant (8:30 am CT) and town hall (12:00 pm CT)

January 14, 2016 – FOX Business GOP Debate in North Charleston, South Carolina

Mona Salama

Mona Salama is a PolitiChicks political reporter based in New York City covering politics and NYPD. She reports broadly on the 2016 campaign trail from the road and at home. Prior to joining PolitiChicks, Mona started with Wayne Dupree's WAAR where she covered NY politics, 2014 mid-term elections, and the NYPD. In 2015, DC Gazette considers Mona as one of the 20 rising Conservative stars. She was cited as "generally one of the most stunning women in political commentary with a huge future ahead of her, we’re pretty sure Mona Salama will soon easily be the next Andrea Tantaros and a common conservative household name." Currently she is finishing her Masters, all while at the same time covering the 2016 Presidential race, in Public Policy at John Jay College in New York City. Mona can be followed on twitter at @MonaSalama_ and email: mona@politichicks.com

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