Key Midterm Election Races to watch Tuesday night:
Kentucky Senate: Incumbent Mitch McConnell (R) vs. Alison Lundergan Grimes (D)
Iowa Senate: Joni Ernst (R) vs, Bruce Braley (D)
North Carolina Senate: Incumbent Kay Hagan (D) vs. Thom Tillis (R)
Georgia Senate: David Perdue (R) vs. Michelle Nunn (D)
Kansas Senate: Incumbent Pat Roberts (R) vs. Greg Orman (I)
New Hampshire Senate: Incumbent Jeanne Shaheen (D) vs. Scott Brown (R)
California Congressional District 52: Incumbent Scott Peters (D) vs. Carl DeMaio (R)
New York Congressional District 11: Incumbent Michael Grimm (R) vs. Domenic Recchia (D)
Florida Governor: Incumbent Rick Scott (R) vs. Charlie Crist (Democrat and former Republican Governor)
Texas Governor: State Attorney General Greg Abbott (R) vs. State Senator Wendy Davis
According to Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball,
“The GOP needs at least a net gain of six seats to win back Congress’ upper chamber. But the math is complicated by Sen. Pat Roberts’ [R] struggles in Kansas against Geg Orman [D] and even if Roberts wins, the GOP may not get to 51 seats until after Dec. 6 (Louisiana’s runoff) or even Jan. 6, 2015 (Georgia’s runoff), making it difficult to actually call the Senate for Republicans even this close to Nov. 4.”
Democrat Michelle Nunn, daughter of Georgia’s senator, Sam Nunn, is closing the gap with David Perdue in their race for the senate representing Georgia plus Libertarian candidate, Amanda Swafford, is making a big enough dent (66% chance) to cause a runoff between Nunn and Perdue, according to the New York Times. The runoffs will occur if no candidate receives 50% of the vote.
- Some states have too many House seats to list. In that case we have listed only competitive House races from Election Projection’s website.
- If there are no competitive races, we have listed all the congressional districts.
- Any “Notes” below are from Election Projection’s website.
- In states where Lt. Governors are not listed as individuals, they are combined on the gubernatorial ballot.
- Other sources consulted: Secretary of State web sites for all 50 states and Ballotpedia.org.