Six nations worked through a drawn out meeting that lasted 4 days, trying to work out a deal after weeks of summits to try and find ‘common ground’ on Iran’s nuclear program. The US, Russia, China, UK, France and Germany worked with Iranian officials in order to agree to a deal which was supposed to freeze key parts of Iran’s nuclear program in exchange for temporary relief on some economic sanctions. A deal was made and sealed on Sunday November 24th at 3 a.m., one which is hailed by the Obama administration and liberal talking heads as “historic”, a “beginning of a bright path forward, towards peace.” Secretary of State John Kerry said the agreement would help “make the world safer, and Israel safer.”
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif told reporters,
It is important that we all of us see the opportunity to end an unnecessary crisis and open new horizons based on respect, based on the rights of the Iranian people and removing any doubts about the exclusively peaceful nature of Iran’s nuclear program… This is a process of attempting to restore confidence.
Obama praised the deal seeing it as a victory for his administration, which has come under fire from many on both sides of the political aisle over Obamacare. He boasted, “Today, that diplomacy opened up a new path toward a world that is more secure — a future in which we can verify that Iran’s nuclear program is peaceful and that it cannot build a nuclear weapon… While today’s announcement is just a first step, it achieves a great deal. For the first time in nearly a decade, we have halted the progress of the Iranian nuclear program, and key parts of the program will be rolled back.”
Not all are excited with the plan. Some Senate members expressed skepticism, including some Democrats such as New York Sen. Chuck Schumer who warned, “This disproportionality of this agreement makes it more likely that Democrats and Republicans will join together and pass additional sanctions when we return in December. I intend to discuss that possibility with my colleagues.”
Some key US allies are not thrilled with the deal either. Canada’s Foreign Affairs Minister, John Baird, said he was “deeply skeptical”, that because previous Iranian leaders had made hostile comments toward Israel, “we’re deeply skeptical of the deal and the work that’s brought us to this stage.”
There’s no confidence in the Obama administration doing the right thing with Iran… We’re really concerned — Israel, Saudi Arabia, the Middle East countries — about this.” He went on saying, “Obama is in so much of a rush to have a deal with Iran… He wants anything. He’s so wounded. It’s very scary. Look, the 2014 elections are going to begin. Within two months they’re going to start campaigning. Thirty-nine members of his own party in the House have already moved away from him on Obamacare. That’s scary for him.
As for Benjamin Netanyahu, Obama planned on speaking with the Israeli Prime Minister Monday to discuss the agreement, according to a senior administration official. It should be interesting as Netanyahu told local media in Moscow that Iran was essentially given an “unbelievable Christmas present – the capacity to maintain this (nuclear) breakout capability for practically no concessions at all“. He also is reported to have said that the international community is giving up too much to Iran, which it believes will retain the ability to produce a nuclear weapon and threaten Israel.
So what exactly is in this deal anyway? Well, for starters, Iran will get as much as $7 billion in relief from economic sanctions over six months. According to BusinessWeek, in return for Iran supposedly limiting its nuclear program, the interim agreement provides for the release of $4.2 billion in frozen oil assets and will let Iran continue exporting oil at current levels, rather than forcing continued reductions by buyers, as would be required under current law. The accord also will “suspend certain sanctions on gold and precious metals, Iran’s auto sector and Iran’s petrochemical exports, potentially providing Iran approximately $1.5 billion in revenue.”
According to Obama who made a speech last night after the deal was reached, “if Iran does not fully meet its commitments during this six-month phase, we will turn off the relief, and ratchet up the pressure.”
The New York Times however realizes that “the deal does not roll back the vast majority of the advances Iran has made in the past five years, which have drastically shortened what nuclear experts call its “dash time” to a bomb — the minimum time it would take to build a weapon if Iran’s supreme leader or military decided to pursue that path.”
Debkafiles explains that the deal “failed to address the most questionable aspects of Iran’s nuclear program, i.e. its clandestine military dimensions.” For example, the deal is limited to certain phases of uranium enrichment and stockpiles and UN inspections were expanded but not applied to Iran’s concealed nuclear sites – or the Parchin military base where Iran is suspected of having tested nuclear-related explosions. According to the same Debkafiles report, the last IAEA report stated, “Since 2002, the Agency has become increasingly concerned about the possible existence in Iran of undisclosed nuclear related organizations, including activities related to the development of a payload for a missile.”
None of these investigations (which Tehran never cooperated with) are mentioned in the Geneva accord, nor was it addressed in the negotiations. Also missing from the agreement was the fact that Iran doesn’t need a nuclear bomb or missile warhead for attacking Israel, all that is needed is a few dirty bombs, which they can make from medium-grade uranium. According to a friend who worked in the nuclear field, this is anything from 25-30% enrichment. Now according to the deal, Obama and Kerry say it doesn’t allow Iran to enrich uranium; however, this was directly contradicted by the Iranian president , a senior negotiator as well as Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.
If Obama and Kerry have been duped, or allowed for an open interpretation of the deal, Iran will be able to keep the stockpiles they already have while supposedly enriching from now on at a lower grade, cut by a mere 5-10% and is still able to produce as much fissile material as it wants, whenever it wants.
Obama claims Iran has not added any new centrifuges to its enrichment facilities, but there is nothing to stop it from keeping up their production at the ones they have now, and as of August of this year, it was reported that Iran has approximately 1800 centrifuges. This means that in the next six-months Tehran will have time to turn out enough centrifuges to expand its production of enriched uranium.
With valid concerns of Israel and Saudi Arabia among other Middle Eastern Allies, seeing that Iran still has the capabilities of doing serious damage in neighboring states, Obama promised to closely follow Iran’s compliance and said that he “as commander-in-chief of US armed forces maintain the option for military action.” In other words, Obama is allowing time for Iran to continue to do whatever they are going to do, while at the same time, demoralizing and weakening our military, yet making more promises that he will use our military to ‘clean up’ whatever might happen.
Obama has no right to presume what is best for Israel. And in my opinion, it took a lot of nerve when his administration told Israel and Saudi Arabia that the Americans control radar capabilities over the skies near Iran and that no strike should be launched without permission from the Obama administration.
Benjamin Netanyahu is right when he said, “Today the world became a much more dangerous place because the most dangerous regime in the world made a significant step in obtaining the most dangerous weapons in the world.”
To Obama, this deal is a victory, a shiny distraction from all the scandals, Obamacare, and the lowest poll numbers he’s had so far. The other side of the deal, however, is that Israel and others are in more danger, and they may have to take care of things on their own instead of being able to depend on the US–as long as Obama is in charge.